Super Rugby 2020: Round 2 predictions and expected winners

The 2020 Super Rugby season is upon is as are the prediction games. Here's how things shape up for Round 2.

Another weekend, another round of Super Rugby. Week one saw the Stormers thump the Hurricanes, racking up 27 unanswered points at Newlands while the Sharks snatched a thrilling last-minute win under Friday night lights against the Bulls.

There was little time to revel in their thrilling win for the Durban-based franchise, though, as they jetted off for their first away fixture of the season.

They’ll open the weekend’s action against the Highlanders on Saturday morning.

The Brumbies will host the Rebels in the other match on Friday.

Kicking Saturday off, the Chiefs host the defending champions, the Crusaders, followed by the Waratahs and the Blues.

The Lions, meanwhile, return from their South American sojourn, where they were schooled by the Jaguares, to host the Reds in Saturday afternoon’s early kick off.

Saturday’s big fixture is the north-south South African derby, though. The Stormers will host the Bulls with the Cape Town side saying they’re expecting a rather different tussle to their first outing.

Stormers coach John Dobson said they know the visitors’ kicking game will be strong.

“We are training for the aerial bombardment… we know [Morne] Steyn is a real threat,” said Dobson.

“If you watched training we are prepping particularly for the distance kicks. Sometimes because it is Western Province against the Bulls we get sucked into running too many of their kicks back. We get seduced by seeing a chase line that is a little further back. We can’t get seduced into that this weekend. We have to be a bit pragmatic about how we go about our attack this week.”

The Jaguares have stayed put over in Buenos Airies and will be visited by the walking wounded Hurricanes to complete the weekend’s action.

But how will it all go down? If you’re happy to hazard a guess, we’re here to help.

Prediction methodology explained

The expected win percentage is based off publicly available odds. For example, if a team’s odds are 2.30, the expected chance of winning is 43%. If the odds are 1.62 the expected chance of winning is 62% and so on.

The predicted points margin draws on calculations from by a New Zealand statistician.

Highlanders vs Sharks

Brumbies vs Rebels

Chiefs vs Crusaders

Waratahs vs Blues

Lions vs Reds

Stormers vs Bulls

Jaguares vs Hurricanes

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