Expected vs usual PSL results for Kaizer Chiefs, Mamelodi Sundowns and others

There's a chunk of PSL fixtures to look forward to this weekend. Here are the expected vs usual win percentage for Friday and Saturday's matches.

The battle for the PSL continues with a full round of fixtures over the weekend, as log leaders Kaizer Chiefs look to continue their march towards the Absa Premiership title.

Chiefs tackle Maritzburg United at the FNB Stadium with the chance to extend their nine-point lead at the top of the table, with kick off at 18:00 SAST on Saturday.

SuperSport United kick off the PSL action on Friday night when they tackle Stellenbosch United at the Cape Town Stadium (20:00).

And they do so knowing that sealing three points from their trip to the Mother City will put them second in the table ahead of the rest of the weekend’s action.

Mamelodi Sundowns start the weekend in third ahead of their clash with Chippa United at Loftus Versfeld in Pretoria, with kick off on Saturday at 15:30.

Second-placed Orlando Pirates must wait until Sunday in their attempt to cut the lead to their Soweto rivals at the top of the log, with a 15:30 game away to lowly Black Leopards.

Northern rivals Polokwane City are out to take advantage of any slip-ups at the same time, where victory over Cape Town City at the Old Peter Mokaba Stadium could take them off the bottom of the standings.

Back at the top fifth-placed Bidvest Wits will try to close the gap to the top four when they travel to play struggling Baroka FC (15:30).

Highlands Park are in action at the same time on Saturday afternoon, with their mission to prevent visiting mid-table rivals Bloemfontein Celtic from leap-frogging them on the PSL log.

There’s even a Durban derby on Saturday night (20:15) as Kings Park hosts a KZN battle between AmaZulu and Golden Arrows.

So, what does this weekend have in store for the teams in terms of expected chance of winning vs the usual rate at which they win their fixtures? Let’s take a look at the PSL fixtures on Friday and Saturday.

Prediction methodology explained

The expected win percentage is based off publicly available odds. For example, if a team’s odds are 2.30, the expected chance of winning is 43%. If the odds are 1.62 the expected chance of winning is 62% and so on.

Stellenbosch FC v SuperSport United

Highlands Park v Bloemfontein Celtic

Mamelodi Sundowns v Chippa United

Note: Chippa United’s figures weren’t available at the time of writing.

Baroka FC v Wits

Kazier Chiefs v Maritzburg United

AmaZulu v Golden Arrows

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