Super Rugby 2020: Round 5 predictions – expected winners and points margins

Around we go again. Super Rugby 2020 isn't stopping. Here are the predicted winners and predicted points margins for Round 5.

Round five of Super Rugby 2020 gives South Africa’s Stormers the chance to extend their lead at the top of the early overall log.

The Cape Town franchise boasts the only remaining 100% record after the opening four weekends.

And they can build on their advantage over second-placed defending champions the Crusaders, who are on a bye week, if they can beat the touring Blues at Newlands on Saturday (kick off 15:05 SAST).

It’s the penultimate match of the round, with focus then moving upcountry to Loftus Versfeld, where the winless Bulls tackle the Jaguares at 17:15.

The Sharks are also going well with three wins from four so far in the 2020 competition.

They finish their Australasian tour on Saturday (10:15) with a tricky contest at Suncorp Stadium against the Reds.

One of two games in New Zealand this weekend sees the Hurricanes on the road to face the Sunwolves in Napier on Saturday, with kick off at 5:45.

McLean Park is the venue as the hosts look to boost their points difference against the Japanese franchise, who are on course to bow out of Super Rugby with something of a whimper at the end of the campaign.

The Highlanders kick off the weekend on Friday at the Forsyth Barr Stadium when they play the Rebels (8:05).

Both have struggled in 2020 so far, with just one victory each leaving them in the lower reaches of the early standings.

Friday’s second fixture sees the action hop across the Tasman to Sydney, where the Lions start their tour Down Under with a match against the rock-bottom Waratahs at the Bankwest Stadium (10:15).

If you love Super Rugby, you probably love predictions. What’s the weekend got in store? Let’s see what the numbers say.

Prediction methodology explained

The expected win percentage is based off publicly available odds. For example, if a team’s odds are 2.30, the expected chance of winning is 43%. If the odds are 1.62 the expected chance of winning is 62% and so on.

The predicted points margin draws on calculations from by a New Zealand statistician.

Highlanders vs Rebels

Waratahs vs Lions

Hurricanes vs Sunwolves

Reds vs Sharks

Stormers vs Blues

Bulls vs Jaguares

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