Brighton vs Arsenal: Line-up, EPL prediction and result


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Gunners head south with a welcome London derby win in their back pocket.

Latest EPL standings as well as fixtures and results are found below the predictions.

Arsenal go to Brighton in the English Premier League on Tuesday evening, hoping they’ve finally turned a corner as the new year approaches.

Photo: James Boyes via Wikimedia Commons

The Gunners arrested a rotten run of EPL form with a Boxing Day victory over Chelsea in a London derby at the Emirates Stadium.

Palpable relief all round for Mikel Arteta and his players, then, who hadn’t tasted victory in seven fixtures since pinching three points away to Manchester United.

It still leaves them a desultory 15th in the table but at least considering the prospect of looking up once more, rather than down at the relegation zone.

Gabriel Malalhaes is self-isolating and won’t feature here, with his fellow Brazilians Willian and David Luiz also expected to be missing through illness.

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang may well return rejuvenated to spearhead the attack at the Amex Stadium, as Thomas Partey continues to miss out with injury.

Relegation-threatened Brighton made it three draws on the spin at West Ham on Sunday, as they continue their increasingly forlorn pursuit of a third win of the campaign.

Graham Potter’s side are two points and two places above the relegation zone, albeit just four points shy of their illustrious visitors.

Tariq Lamptey, Florin Andone and Jose Izquierdo all miss out through injury, although Aaron Connolly stands a chance of returning following a groin problem.

Brighton vs Arsenal: English Premier League Predictions by the numbers

  • Coming into this game, Brighton & Hove Albion has picked up 3 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That’s 0.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Brighton & Hove Albion has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.
  • Arsenal’s defence will have to be at their best today if they’re to stop Brighton & Hove Albion from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 3 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 1 home matches this season.
  • Brighton & Hove Albion has put together a good run of form and has now gone 3 games without defeat.
  • Can Brighton & Hove Albion turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 3 draws and 2 defeats.
  • Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Brighton & Hove Albion recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
  • In the last 5 matches for Brighton & Hove Albion, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 11 matches (73% of all matches) involving Brighton & Hove Albion has seen BTTS landing.
  • Coming into this game, Arsenal has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That’s 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Arsenal has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
  • Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Arsenal recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
  • Arsenal has fired blanks in 6 games this season. That’s 40% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 5 goals.
  • In the last 5 matches for Arsenal, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 7 matches (47% of all matches) involving Arsenal has seen BTTS landing.

Stats source: footystats.org

Brighton vs Arsenal: Prediction

Prediction methodology explainedThe expected win percentage is based off publicly available odds. For example, if a team’s odds are 2.30, the expected chance of winning is 43%. If the odds are 1.62 the expected chance of winning is 62% and so on. These are accurate at the time of writing but are subject to change. Where there is no value listed, the odds were not available at the time of writing.

Brighton vs Arsenal: EPL starting XI prediction

Probable Brighton Starting XI: Robert Sanchez, Ben White, Lewis Dunk, Adam Webster, Joel Veltman, Yves Bissouma, Steven Alzate, Solly March, Neal Maupay, Pascal Gross, Danny Welbeck.

Probable Arsenal Starting XI: Bernd Leno, Hector Bellerin, Rob Holding, Pablo Mari, Kieran Tierney, Dani Ceballos, Granit Xhaka, Bukayo Saka, Emile Smith-Rowe, Gabriel Martinelli, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.

Latest EPL fixtures and results

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