Southampton vs Arsenal: Line-up, EPL prediction and result

Can the Gunners continue their EPL rise on the south coast? Arsenal travel to Southampton for a mid-week EPL fixture on Tuesday.

Latest EPL standings as well as fixtures and results are found below the predictions.

Going above Southampton in the English Premier League table was a pipe dream at best for ailing Arsenal just a few weeks ago.

But that’s exactly what they’ll do if they can pinch a win at St Mary’s Stadium on Tuesday night.

The Gunners are unbeaten in five since Boxing Day, winning four of those to nudge up to 11th as part of the midtable pack.

Last Monday’s 3-0 cakewalk over Newcastle at the Emirates Stadium continued that run, with the Londoners just needing to avoid a repeat of their FA Cup defeat at the Saints last weekend.

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang and Dani Ceballos will need to be assessed ahead of midweek action, with Pablo Mari definitely ruled out by a calf injury.

Southampton had been absolutely flying in the EPL, only to find the going much tougher since the festive period.

Victory at home to Liverpool represents the only league success for Ralph Hasenhuttl’s men in their last six, as they’ve drifted down the standings to sit just two points and one place above their visitors.

A whole host of injuries hasn’t helped, albeit with Oriol Romeu on his way back and Danny Ings having returned following a bout of Covid-19 at the weekend.

Nathan Redmond, Jannik Vestergaard and Moussa Djenepo are among those still looking on from the sidelines for the Saints.

Southampton vs Arsenal: EPL predictions by the numbers

  • Coming into this game, Southampton has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That’s 1 point per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 0 of those games. Southampton has scored once in the last 5 fixtures.
  • Southampton has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
  • Southampton has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 8 occasions.
  • Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Southampton recently, with the side failing to score in 4 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
  • Just 0 of the last 5 games for Southampton has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 7/18 games for Southampton this season.
  • Coming into this game, Arsenal has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That’s 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 1 of those games. Arsenal has scored 11 times in the last 5 fixtures.
  • Arsenal has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
  • Momentum is really building for Arsenal as they have now gone 5 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
  • Arsenal has kept 4 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding one goal during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 7 occasions.
  • Arsenal is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Southampton, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 11 goals in those 5 games.
  • Arsenal has fired blanks in 7 games this season. That’s 37% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 11 goals.
  • Just 1 of the last 5 games for Arsenal has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 7/19 games for Arsenal this season.

Stats source: footystats.org

Southampton vs Arsenal: Prediction

Prediction methodology explainedThe expected win percentage is based off publicly available odds. For example, if a team’s odds are 2.30, the expected chance of winning is 43%. If the odds are 1.62 the expected chance of winning is 62% and so on. These are accurate at the time of writing but are subject to change. Where there is no value listed, the odds were not available at the time of writing.

Southampton vs Arsenal: EPL starting XI prediction

Probable Southampton Starting XI: Alex McCarthy, Kyle Walker-Peters, Jan Bedranek, Dale Stephens, Ryan Bertrand, Stuart Armstrong, James Ward-Prowse, Ibrahima Diallo, Theo Walcott, Che Adams, Danny ings.

Probable Arsenal Starting XI: Bernd Leno, Hector Bellerin, Rob Holding, David Luiz, Kieran Tierney, Thomas Partey, Granit Xhaka, Bukayo Saka, Emile Smith-Rowe, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Alexandre Lacazette.


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