Arsenal vs Newcastle: Line-up, EPL prediction and result

The Gunners are on Monday night EPL duty at home to the Magpies.

Latest EPL standings as well as fixtures and results are found below the predictions.

Arsenal and Newcastle complete the weekend’s English Premier League programme when they host Newcastle at the Emirates Stadium on Monday night.

The Gunners have banished several demons in recent weeks, turning around a wretched sequence of results to go four unbeaten in the EPL.

They had won three on the bounce before being held to a goalless draw on home turf by Crystal Palace on Thursday night.

Boss Mikel Arteta does at least have a mid-table position to take into the second half of the campaign, rather than an unseemly scramble around the division’s lower reaches.

Kieran Tierney misses out at full back due to injury, with Gabriel Martinelli and Pablo Mari both doubtful.

The Magpies are back in the all-too-familiar position of looking over their shoulder at the relegation zone thanks to a rotten run of form.

Six games without a win and three defeats in the last four has increased the angst on Tyneside, with the men in black and white starting to rely on the ineptitude of those below them.

Ryan Fraser serves the first match of his ban after being sent off in his side’s midweek defeat at rock-bottom Sheffield United.

Jamal Lascelles, Paul Dummett, Jamal Lewis and Jonjo Shelvey are all locked in a race against time to be fit for the weekend, while Allan Saint-Maximin continues to shrug off the effects of Covid-19.

Arsenal vs Newcastle: Predictions by the numbers

  • Coming into this game, Arsenal has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That’s 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Arsenal has scored 9 times in the last 5 fixtures.
  • Arsenal has enjoyed playing at home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
  • Momentum is really building for Arsenal as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
  • Arsenal has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 3 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 6 occasions.
  • Arsenal will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Newcastle United, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
  • Arsenal has fired blanks in 7 games this season. That’s 39% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 9 goals.
  • Just 2 of the last 5 games for Arsenal has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 7/18 games for Arsenal this season.
  • Coming into this game, Newcastle United has picked up 2 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That’s 0.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Newcastle United has scored 2 times in the last 5 fixtures.
  • Can Newcastle United turn this around? They have not won in the last 5 games coming into this, with 2 draws and 3 defeats.
  • Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Newcastle United recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
  • Just 2 of the last 5 games for Newcastle United has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 0 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 9/17 games for Newcastle United this season.

Stats source: footystats.org

Arsenal vs Newcastle: Prediction

Prediction methodology explainedThe expected win percentage is based off publicly available odds. For example, if a team’s odds are 2.30, the expected chance of winning is 43%. If the odds are 1.62 the expected chance of winning is 62% and so on. These are accurate at the time of writing but are subject to change. Where there is no value listed, the odds were not available at the time of writing.

Arsenal vs Newcastle: EPL starting XI prediction

Probable Arsenal Starting XI: Bernd Leno, Hector Bellerin, Rob Holding, Gabriel Magalhaes, Ainsley Maitland-Niles, Thomas Partey, Granit Xhaka, Bukayo Saka, Emile Smith-Rowe, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Alexandre Lacazette.

Probable Newcastle Starting XI: Karl Darlow, DeAndre Yedlin, Federico Fernandez, Fabian Schar, Ciaran Clark, Matt Ritchie, Miguel Almiron, Jeff Hendrick, Sean Longstaff, Joelinton, Callum Wilson.