Arsenal vs Leeds: Line-up, EPL prediction and result

Gunners host Bielsa’s men in a mid-table EPL battle at the Emirates. Here’s a quick prediction for the EPL fixture between Arsenal and Leeds this weekend.

Latest EPL standings as well as fixtures and results are found below the predictions.

Arsenal and Leeds lock horns at the Emirates Stadium on Sunday, with both on the brink of a place in the top half of the English Premier League.

The Gunners’ recent revival, which saw them rocket back up the EPL table, has ground to a halt in three winless outings.

A home draw with high-flying Manchester United was no disaster, but successive defeats in the Midlands to Wolves and Aston Villa hasn’t helped the mood in north London.

Mikel Arteta’s side start the weekend 11th in the standings, with everyone around them having games in hand.

Defensive reinforcements are at hand for the Spanish boss as Bernd Leno and David Luiz make their returns from suspension in goal and in defence.

Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang is a possibility to return to the front line following his leave of absence, while Real Madrid loanee Martin Odegaard is also an option for his full debut.

Full-back Kieran Tierney is edging closer to his return from a calf injury.

Leeds sneaked above their hosts by virtue of their third win in four on Monday night, with toothless Crystal Palace powerless to resist at Elland Road.

It meant Marcelo Bielsa’s men immediately overcame their home reverse at the hands of Everton the previous week, going within striking distance of ninth-placed Aston Villa in the process.

The Yorkshire side could remain unchanged from their victory over the Eagles, although they do have a hefty injury list to contend with.

Robin Koch, Diego Llorente, Gaetano Berardi, Rodrigo and Ian Poveda-Ocampo are all ruled out, with Adam Forshaw also a doubt.

Arsenal vs Leeds: By the numbers

  • Coming into this game, Arsenal has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That’s 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Arsenal has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
  • Superb stuff from Arsenal at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
  • Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Arsenal recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
  • Arsenal has fired blanks in 9 games this season. That’s 39% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 7 goals.
  • Just 2 of the last 5 games for Arsenal has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 2 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 9/23 games for Arsenal this season.
  • Coming into this game, Leeds United has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That’s 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Leeds United has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
  • Leeds United has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 2 games.
  • It’s possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 4 games for Leeds United ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
  • In the last 5 matches for Leeds United, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 12 matches (55% of all matches) involving Leeds United has seen BTTS landing.
  • It’s likely that Leeds United will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.

Stats source: footystats.org

Arsenal vs Leeds: Prediction

Prediction methodology explainedThe expected win percentage is based off publicly available odds. For example, if a team’s odds are 2.30, the expected chance of winning is 43%. If the odds are 1.62 the expected chance of winning is 62% and so on. These are accurate at the time of writing but are subject to change. Where there is no value listed, the odds were not available at the time of writing.

Arsenal vs Leeds: EPL starting XI prediction

Probable Arsenal Starting XI: Bernd Leno, Hector Bellerin, Rob Holding, David Luiz, Kieran Tierney, Thomas Partey, Granit Xhaka, Bukayo Saka, Emile Smith Rowe, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Alexandre Lacazette.

Probable Leeds Starting XI: Illan Meslier, Luke Ayling, Pascal Struijk, Liam Cooper, Ezgjan Alioski, Kalvin Phillips, Raphinha, Stuart Dallas, Mateusz Klich, Jack Harrison, Patrick Bamford.