Liverpool vs Chelsea: Line-up, EPL prediction and result

Will Reds or Blues break back into EPL top four? Liverpool host Chelsea in the Premier League on Thursday.

Latest EPL standings as well as fixtures and results are found below the predictions.

Liverpool and Chelsea square up on Thursday night as the top six battle heats up in the English Premier League.

It’s an Anfield battle that pits sixth against fifth, not to mention German coaching duo Jurgen Klopp and Thomas Tuchel.

Klopp’s outgoing EPL champions needed a fixture against listless bottom club Sheffield United to end a horror run of four straight losses.

Sunday’s 2-0 win at Bramall Lane put an end to that particular hex and soothed a few nerves around Merseyside, albeit with neighbours Everton winning on Monday night to go level on points with the Reds.

The gap to Manchester City at the top has become 19 points in the blink of an eye but forget about that, an awkward campaign has become all about securing a berth in the top four.

Not losing ground on Wednesday’s visitors wouldn’t do any harm, with Chelsea coming up to the north west off the back of consecutive draws.

The Blues were as tight as a submarine door – and not nearly expansive enough for some – in drawing 0-0 at home to Manchester United at the weekend.

It followed a 1-1 tie with pepped up Southampton at St Mary’s Stadium the previous Saturday, leaving the Blues below West Ham and Leicester in the EPL standings.

The home side’s notorious absentee list wasn’t helped at the weekend by the addition of keeper Alisson, who was given compassionate leave following the sudden death of his father in his native Brazil.

It remains to be seen whether he feels able to return, with rookie stopper Caoimhin Kelleher also a doubt thanks to injury.

Virgil van Dijk, Joe Gomez and Joel Matip are all familiar misses in defence, with continuing doubts around Fabinho not helping either.

Jordan Henderson is also ruled out but Klopp just about has Diogo Jota ready to return to freshen things up further up the pitch.

The Blues are in a far healthier position, with Thiago Silva nearing his return to full fitness at the back.

Callum Hudson-Odoi is a slight injury concern but Tuchel has plenty of options going forward with the likes of Kai Havertz, Timo Werner, Tammy Abraham and Christian Pulisic all jostling for places.

Liverpool vs Chelsea: By the numbers

  • Coming into this game, Liverpool has picked up 3 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That’s 0.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Liverpool has scored 4 times in the last 5 fixtures.
  • It’s possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 4 games for Liverpool ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
  • Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Liverpool recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
  • Just 2 of the last 5 games for Liverpool has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 15/26 games for Liverpool this season.
  • Coming into this game, Chelsea has picked up 11 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That’s 2.2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Chelsea has scored 6 times in the last 5 fixtures.
  • Chelsea has enjoyed playing away from home recently, with the side currently unbeaten in 3 games.
  • Momentum is really building for Chelsea as they have now gone 7 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
  • Chelsea has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 12 occasions.
  • Chelsea is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Liverpool, having won 3 and drawn 2. They have scored 6 goals in those 5 games.
  • Just 2 of the last 5 games for Chelsea has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 11/26 games for Chelsea this season.

Stats source: footystats.org

Liverpool vs Chelsea: Prediction

Prediction methodology explainedThe expected win percentage is based off publicly available odds. For example, if a team’s odds are 2.30, the expected chance of winning is 43%. If the odds are 1.62 the expected chance of winning is 62% and so on. These are accurate at the time of writing but are subject to change. Where there is no value listed, the odds were not available at the time of writing.

Liverpool vs Chelsea: EPL starting XI prediction

Probable Liverpool Starting XI: Alisson, Trent Alexander-Arnold, Ozan Kabak, Fabinho, Andy Robertson, Thiago, Georginio Wijnaldum, Curtis Jones, Mohamed Salah, Roberto Firmino, Sadio Mane.

Probable Chelsea Starting XI: Edouard Mendy, Cesar Azpilicueta, Andreas Christensen, Antonio Rudiger, Reece James, N’Golo Kante, Mateo Kovacic, Marcos Alonso, Mason Mount, Kai Havertz, Timo Werner.

Find all English Premier League predictions, fixtures and results for 2-4 March 2021 here.