Arsenal vs Tottenham: Line-up, EPL prediction and result

The North London Derby is the highlight of your EPL Sunday. Arsenal and Tottenham meet in the English Premier League at the Emirates Stadium.

Latest EPL standings as well as fixtures and results are found below the predictions.

Arsenal and Tottenham collide for the North London Derby in the English Premier League on Sunday afternoon at the Emirates Stadium.

It’s a rival clash that sees both clubs peering into the EPL’s top six, as time starts to run out in their respective bids to seal European football for next season.

The Gunners might have to settle for catching Spurs as their best target following an inconsistent campaign that has already seen them lose 11 fixtures.

Mikel Arteta’s side have at least only lost one of their last four in the league, although last Saturday’s draw at struggling Burnley took the wind out of their sails once again.

It leaves them slugging it out in tenth place in the table, seven points adrift of their visitors and an eye-watering 12 shy of fellow Londoners Chelsea in fourth.

Arteta does have a more or less fully fit squad to select from, with only Emile Smith Rowe requiring a late fitness test.

Nicolas Pepe could return to start having come on from the bench in recent weeks, while Calum Chambers looks set to continue at right back.

Spurs are mounting a late charge for continental qualification as they recover from an extended mid-season slump.

Jose Mourinho’s side have won their last three with Burnley, Fulham and Crystal Palace all swept aside and nine goals rattled in while they’ve been at it.

Just five points now separates them and Thomas Tuchel’s in-form Chelsea at the start of the weekend, heading into the final ten games of the EPL season.

Harry Kane is an injury headache after being spotted nursing a knee injury during Europa League action in the week.

Giovani Lo Celso may also be filed in the nearly-but-not-quite category, with the Argentine’s return from injury set back by a minor back problem.

Serge Aurier and Tanguy Ndombele are both pushing for starting places in the derby.

Arsenal vs Tottenham: By the numbers

  • Coming into this game, Arsenal has picked up 7 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That’s 1.4 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Arsenal has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
  • Arsenal has put together a good run of form and has now gone 2 games without defeat.
  • Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Arsenal recently, with the side failing to score in 2 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
  • Arsenal has fired blanks in 10 games this season. That’s 37% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 8 goals.
  • In the last 5 matches for Arsenal, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 12 matches (44% of all matches) involving Arsenal has seen BTTS landing.
  • Coming into this game, Tottenham Hotspur has picked up 9 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That’s 1.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Tottenham Hotspur has scored 10 times in the last 5 fixtures.
  • Tottenham Hotspur has put together a good run of form and has now gone 3 games without defeat.
  • Just 2 of the last 5 games for Tottenham Hotspur has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 3 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 13/27 games for Tottenham Hotspur this season.
  • It’s likely that Tottenham Hotspur will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 10 goals in the last five games.

Stats source: footystats.org

Arsenal vs Tottenham: Prediction

Prediction methodology explainedThe expected win percentage is based off publicly available odds. For example, if a team’s odds are 2.30, the expected chance of winning is 43%. If the odds are 1.62 the expected chance of winning is 62% and so on. These are accurate at the time of writing but are subject to change. Where there is no value listed, the odds were not available at the time of writing.

Arsenal vs Tottenham: EPL starting XI prediction

Probable Arsenal Starting XI: Bernd Leno, Calum Chambers, David Luiz, Pablo Mari, Kieran Tierney, Thomas Partey, Granit Xhaka, Nicolas Pepe, Martin Odegaard, Bukayo Saka, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.

Probable Tottenham Starting XI: Hugo Lloris, Serge Aurier, Davinson Sanchez, Toby Alderweireld, Sergio Reguilon, Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg, Tanguy Ndombele, Gareth Bale, Lucas Moura, Son Heung-Min, Harry Kane.

Get all the English Premier League predictions, fixtures and results for 12-15 March here.