Manchester United vs Burnley: Line-up, EPL prediction and result

Red Devils out to put EPL title squeeze on City. Manchester United host Burnley in the English Premier League at Old Trafford.

Latest EPL standings as well as fixtures and results are found below the predictions.

Manchester United are still in the English Premier League title hunt as they take on Burnley at Old Trafford on Sunday.

The Red Devils have a golden opportunity to close the gap to neighbours Manchester City at the top, with Pep Guardiola’s leaders not in EPL action this weekend.

They instead have an FA Cup semi-final date with Chelsea, meaning three points from United’s game in hand will leave an eight point difference between the pair.

Few would bet against Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s men doing just that, as they come into the fixture off the back of four consecutive Premier League wins.

It’s a sequence that kicked off with their eye-catching 2-0 victory over their rivals at the Etihad Stadium, when it felt like a defeat would have killed off any hope of pinching the crown.

Home successes over West Ham and Brighton followed before, most gratifyingly of all, last Sunday’s 3-1 win over old boss Jose Mourinho and his Tottenham side.

It means United have all eyes on top spot, with a seven-point gap prized open below them to Leicester in third.

Marcus Rashford is an injury doubt for the home side, although Harry Maguire, Scott McTominay and Luke Shaw should all be fresh having missed midweek Europa League duties through suspension.

Edinson Cavani will likely lead the line with Anthony Martial ruled out, while Eric Bailly has a chance of returning at the other end of the pitch following his recovery from Covid-19.

Burnley are clinging on above the EPL relegation zone, as coach Sean Dyche continues to work wonders with a threadbare squad.

Back-to-back defeats though, most recently last weekend at the hands of drop rivals Newcastle at Turf Moor, have left the north west side looking anxiously over their shoulder as the games run out.

The Clarets lie 16th coming into the weekend, a point above the Magpies and seven above Fulham, who sit the wrong side of the dotted line.

There should be a major boost between the sticks for the visitors, with England international goalkeeper Nick Pope expected to be fit to face United following a shoulder injury.

A lack of reinforcements towards the sharp end of the pitch will be exposed by the absence of striker Ashley Barnes and winger Robbie Brady, while Kevin Long is also doubtful.

Manchester United vs Burnley: By the numbers

  • Coming into this game, Manchester United has picked up 13 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That’s 2.6 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Manchester United has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
  • Manchester United is in great form, and the home fans will be loving it. They have won the last 3 games that they have played at home.
  • Superb stuff from Manchester United at home, where they are currently unbeaten in 5 games. Can they go another game without defeat?
  • Burnley’s defence will have to be at their best today if they’re to stop Manchester United from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 9 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 3 home matches this season.
  • Momentum is really building for Manchester United as they have now gone 11 games without losing. They have won 4 of the last 5 games they have played.
  • Manchester United has kept 3 clean sheets in the last 5 games, conceding 2 goals during this period. Overall this season, their defence has kept a clean sheet on 12 occasions.
  • Manchester United is unbeaten in the last 5 games coming into this fixture against Burnley, having won 4 and drawn 1. They have scored 8 goals in those 5 games.
  • Just 2 of the last 5 games for Manchester United has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 4 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 18/31 games for Manchester United this season.
  • It’s likely that Manchester United will score today, as they have netted in the last 4 games coming into this one and have scored 8 goals in the last five games.
  • Coming into this game, Burnley has picked up 5 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That’s one point per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 5 of those games. Burnley has scored 7 times in the last 5 fixtures.
  • It’s possible we will see a couple of goals here, with the last 6 games for Burnley ending with 2 goals or more being scored.
  • Burnley has fired blanks in 14 games this season. That’s 45% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored an intriguing 7 goals.
  • The last 5 games for Burnley have each seen both teams scoring. Will they improve their defence, or will we see more of the same here? This season Burnley has seen a total of 12/31 fixtures end with both teams scoring. That’s 39% of all matches played.
  • It’s likely that Burnley will score today, as they have netted in the last 5 games coming into this one and have scored 7 goals in the last five games.

Stats source:

Manchester United vs Burnley: Prediction

Prediction methodology explainedThe expected win percentage is based off publicly available odds. For example, if a team’s odds are 2.30, the expected chance of winning is 43%. If the odds are 1.62 the expected chance of winning is 62% and so on. These are accurate at the time of writing but are subject to change. Where there is no value listed, the odds were not available at the time of writing.

Manchester United vs Burnley: EPL starting XI prediction

Probable Manchester United Starting XI: Dean Henderson, Aaron Wan-Bissaka, Victor Lindelof, Harry Maguire, Luke Shaw, Fred, Scott McTominay, Marcus Rashford, Bruno Fernandes, Paul Pogba, Edinson Cavani.

Probable Burnley Starting XI: Nick Pope, Matthew Lowton, James Tarkowski, Ben Mee, Erik Pieters, Johan Gudmundsson, Josh Brownhill, Ashley Westwood, Dwight McNeil, Chris Wood, Matej Vydra.

Find all the latest English Premier League predictions, fixtures and result for 16-19 April here.