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Arsenal face a daunting task in the English Premier League on Sunday, as they go to title challengers Leicester.
Qualification for European competition next season is looking an increasingly distant prospect for a Gunners side that have lost three of their last four in the EPL.
They put up a fight last weekend in going down by the only goal to runaway leaders Manchester City at the Emirates Stadium.
But it’s points on the board that matter with an otherwise impressive home win over dangerous Leeds preceded by defeats on the road at Aston Villa and Wolves.
It means Mikel Arteta’s side go into the weekend’s action 11th in the Premier League table and well off the pace, albeit with those above them also stuttering in the second half of the campaign.
Thomas Partey made his comeback from injury in the Europa League on Thursday night and could be in line for a start here.
Arteta must decide whether to continue leaving Alexandre Lacazette on the sidelines, while Rob Holding is a doubt in defence.
Leicester are a different animal entirely under the stewardship of rumoured Arsenal target Brendan Rodgers.
The shock 2016 EPL champions are flying again and have won three of their last four unbeaten fixtures coming into the King Power Stadium clash.
Aston Villa were kept at bay for a 2-1 win in a Midlands rumble last Sunday, providing the perfect follow up to the previous weekend’s come-from-behind home success over collapsing reigning champions Liverpool.
The Foxes go into the weekend third in the standings, level on points with second-placed Manchester United.
They also have a nifty four-point cushion below them to the improbable sight of West Ham in fourth.
James Maddison is a doubt after missing the Foxes’ Europa League exit on Thursday, which would be a major blow.
Ayoze Perez, James Justin, Wesley Fofana, Dennis Praet and Wes Morgan all remain on the injury list.
Leicester vs Arsenal: By the numbers
- Coming into this game, Leicester City has picked up 10 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That’s 2 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in an intriguing 3 of those games. Leicester City has scored 8 times in the last 5 fixtures.
- Arsenal’s defence will have to be at their best today if they’re to stop Leicester City from scoring. The home side has scored in the last 5 games in front of their own fans. They have failed to score in 3 home matches this season.
- Momentum is really building for Leicester City as they have now gone 4 games without losing. They have won 3 of the last 5 games they have played.
- Leicester City will be looking to keep up the momentum today against Arsenal, having lost just 1 game from the last 5. They have won 3 and drawn 1
- In the last 5 matches for Leicester City, 3 of those games has ended with both teams scoring. This season 12 matches (48% of all matches) involving Leicester City has seen BTTS landing.
- Coming into this game, Arsenal has picked up 4 points from the last 5 games, both home and away. That’s 0.8 points per game on average. BTTS has landed in just 2 of those games. Arsenal has scored 5 times in the last 5 fixtures.
- Things have not been going that well in front of goal for Arsenal recently, with the side failing to score in 3 of the last 5 games. Will the manager change his tactics today, or throw in another forward?
- Arsenal has fired blanks in 10 games this season. That’s 40% of games where they have not been able to find the back of the net. Do they need a new forward? In the last 5 games, they have scored just 5 goals.
- Just 2 of the last 5 games for Arsenal has ended with both teams scoring. They have won 1 of those 5 games. Overall, BTTS has landed in 10/25 games for Arsenal this season.
Stats source:?footystats.org
Leicester vs Arsenal: Prediction
Prediction methodology explained: The expected win percentage is based off publicly available odds. For example, if a team’s odds are 2.30, the expected chance of winning is 43%. If the odds are 1.62 the expected chance of winning is 62% and so on. These are accurate at the time of writing but are subject to change. Where there is no value listed, the odds were not available at the time of writing.
Leicester vs Arsenal: EPL starting XI prediction
Probable Leicester Starting XI: Kasper Schmeichel, Ricardo Pereira, Jonny Evans, Caglar Soyuncu, Timothy Castagne, Wilfred Ndidi, Youri Tielemens, Marc Albrighton, James Maddison, Harvey Barnes, Jamie Vardy.
Probable Arsenal Starting XI: Bernd Leno, Hector Bellerin, avid Luiz Gabriel Magalhaes, Kieran Tierney, Thomas Partey, Granit Xhaka, Bukayo Saka, Martin Odegaard, Emile Smith Rowe, Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang.
Find all English Premier League predictions, fixtures and results for 27 February to 1 March 2021 here.